A rare significant outbreak of severe storms and tornadoes is looking more likely later today in the region from Little Rock to Memphis, and into West Alabama. The Storm Prediction Center here in Oklahoma has posted a moderate risk. Those are rare in January.

The upper level trough is negatively tilted, and this will cause the wind field to be very favourable for roating supercell storms. Negatively tilted troughs always get my attention. More about the synoptic situation from the SPC here: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

I am driving from Okla. back to Alabama today, and will likely end up in the middle of it or just behind it this evening…