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12 December 2018

NOAA’s Says The Polar Freezer is In Defrost Mode

NOAA’s Arctic Report Card came out today but with all the news (that’s barely fit to print) these days, it was easy to miss. Here’s a summary of the major points and an excellent video from NOAA that summarises it. Too bad I’ve not seen it linked on any major news sites. You can read the whole report here. Report Card Highlights from NOAA Surface air temperatures in the Arctic continued to …

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4 December 2018

Why Those Snow Forecasts Online are Likely Wrong

I go weak in the knees when I see a science info-graphic that explains something really well in one picture. The image above from the NWS Kansas City is a really good one about long-range weather forecasts. Many forecasters in the Mid-Atlantic region and the Midwest are dealing with a possible winter storm beginning this weekend. We cannot say much more than that right now,  and it’s tough to explain to the public …

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29 November 2018

You heard about The National Climate Assessment, but did you read any of it??

You really should. For those of us who read the journal articles, there is really no surprises here. Climate change is not something in the future anymore, it is happening now and in most cases, the predictions made twenty years ago were too conservative. In short, it’s worse than expected. The changes we have seen with a rise of under a degree C are frankly alarming. So start by taking …

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20 November 2018

406 Months in A Row

While there are a lot of folks who think the Earth is flat and that the planet is cooling, those who live in the real world can add another statistic to the bad news: October was the 406th month in a row with temperatures above the 20th-century average. It was also the second warmest on the instrument record. Some more tidbits: The top ten warmest October’s on record have all …

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13 November 2018

The Cloud That Appears on Top of The Most Dangerous Storms

We meteorologists knew that the new GOES satellites would be revolutionary, and a new paper presented at an AMS conference on severe storms is a good example of just that. It’s about a cloud signature visible on high- resolution imagery that can lead to more lead time on severe weather warnings and fewer false alarms. It’s called an AACP: Above Anvil Cirrus Cloud, and when a forecaster sees one on …

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8 November 2018

Deadly Smog Covers Much of India This Morning.

The smog in Delhi has reached near toxic levels this morning. Current air quality readings have reached a level labeled “Extremely Hazardous. This smog is being greatly aggravated by the autumn burning of fields and fireworks from the Diwali festival. The BBC reports that efforts to get residents to not set off the gunpowder failed. The results are clearly visible from space. This will be a killer smog event. A visual picture of …

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22 October 2018

The Coming Storm by Michael Lewis is a Must Listen

You really need to listen to The Coming Storm. This Audible short is about big data, deadly storms, and egregious greed, and I’d give it 5 stars even if I were not quoted in it. (The quote is accurate by the way and I stand by it 100%.)  My friend Tim Schmidt (my go-to expert on satellite data) is also quoted and he (and many of my NOAA friends) are …

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17 October 2018

Is A Changing Climate Shifting Tornado Alley?

An important paper by Harold Brooks and Victor Gensini is out today, and it looks at how the atmospheric conditions that produce tornadoes have changed since 1979. The data shows a clear shift toward the Southeast U.S. with a decrease in the Plains. This is not good since the increase is in an area of higher population, and in an area where a larger percentage of people live in tornado death traps. These traps are …

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12 October 2018

Some Hard Questions No One Is Asking About Michael

Look at what Hurricane Michael did to Florida. This stretch of photos by the NY Times shows a mile of total destruction. I can guarantee you, every one of those homes in Mexico Beach, Florida were built since Hurricane Camille hit the Mississippi coast as a Cat 5 storm in 1969. I bet most were built since Frederick (a Cat 4 like Michael) roared up Mobile Bay in 1979. So the question that no …

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20 September 2018

Highly Polluted Water From Florence Flowing Into the Atlantic

Take a look at this image from the NASA Aqua satellite. Look closely and you can see what is likely a toxic stew pouring into the coastal waters. Much of this from coal ash storage areas and flooded pig farms.

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