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13 November 2018

The Cloud That Appears on Top of The Most Dangerous Storms

We meteorologists knew that the new GOES satellites would be revolutionary, and a new paper presented at an AMS conference on severe storms is a good example of just that. It’s about a cloud signature visible on high- resolution imagery that can lead to more lead time on severe weather warnings and fewer false alarms. It’s called an AACP: Above Anvil Cirrus Cloud, and when a forecaster sees one on …

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8 November 2018

Deadly Smog Covers Much of India This Morning.

The smog in Delhi has reached near toxic levels this morning. Current air quality readings have reached a level labeled “Extremely Hazardous. This smog is being greatly aggravated by the autumn burning of fields and fireworks from the Diwali festival. The BBC reports that efforts to get residents to not set off the gunpowder failed. The results are clearly visible from space. This will be a killer smog event. A visual picture of …

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22 October 2018

The Coming Storm by Michael Lewis is a Must Listen

You really need to listen to The Coming Storm. This Audible short is about big data, deadly storms, and egregious greed, and I’d give it 5 stars even if I were not quoted in it. (The quote is accurate by the way and I stand by it 100%.)  My friend Tim Schmidt (my go-to expert on satellite data) is also quoted and he (and many of my NOAA friends) are …

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17 October 2018

Is A Changing Climate Shifting Tornado Alley?

An important paper by Harold Brooks and Victor Gensini is out today, and it looks at how the atmospheric conditions that produce tornadoes have changed since 1979. The data shows a clear shift toward the Southeast U.S. with a decrease in the Plains. This is not good since the increase is in an area of higher population, and in an area where a larger percentage of people live in tornado death traps. These traps are …

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12 October 2018

Some Hard Questions No One Is Asking About Michael

Look at what Hurricane Michael did to Florida. This stretch of photos by the NY Times shows a mile of total destruction. I can guarantee you, every one of those homes in Mexico Beach, Florida were built since Hurricane Camille hit the Mississippi coast as a Cat 5 storm in 1969. I bet most were built since Frederick (a Cat 4 like Michael) roared up Mobile Bay in 1979. So the question that no …

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20 September 2018

Highly Polluted Water From Florence Flowing Into the Atlantic

Take a look at this image from the NASA Aqua satellite. Look closely and you can see what is likely a toxic stew pouring into the coastal waters. Much of this from coal ash storage areas and flooded pig farms.

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19 September 2018

September 2018: It’s Like Walking Around in A Dogs Mouth

I did a little research on just how incredibly uncomfortable the summer of 2018 has been in the Northeastern U.S. and the numbers are astounding. The graphs below show how many hours the dew point was above a certain level in different time periods. All months means total hours since Jan. 1st through Sept. 18th 2018.  NOTE For those who are shaky on what the dew point is, let me …

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13 September 2018

Florence Update

Here is an update on Hurricane Florence. It’s my 11 PM Weathercast Wednesday night on WBOC, here on the Delmarva/Eastern Shore of Maryland. I started with a comparison of the same storm in the 1960’s and how the water levels/storm surge would be different today.  Rainfall guidance over the next 84 hours is showing as much as 27 inches (68.6 CM) of rainfall in some areas with over 30 …

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8 September 2018

If You Live On The Eastern Seaboard, It’s Time To Worry About Florence

I’ve been pretty quiet here about the tropics this week and for good reason. Long range weather model forecasts are (as John Nance Garner described the office of Vice President) not worth a bucket of warm spit. In addition, tropical cyclones, at the position of Florence earlier in the week, have historically curved north and in only a couple of cases been a threat to the U.S. Eastern Seaboard. So yes, it …

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3 September 2018

The Tropical Atlantic is Starting To Bubble

The tropics are getting more active now. An old forecaster saying is  “there’s almost always a hurricane on Atlantic weather map on Labor Day. We have Tropical Storm Florence in the far west Atlantic and a possible developing depression near Florida on this Labor day 2018. Both of which will need to be watched. It looks like the switch has been turned on in the Atlantic Basin as a more …

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