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You are browsing the archive for 2016 October.

28 October 2016

On Great Fields, Something Stays

I’m just back from a holiday in Canada. The leaves were glorious there and in Upstate New York, and I returned with three cans of Tim Horton’s coffee, which will get me through much of the coming winter. As every Canadian knows, there is no better coffee anywhere, and don’t get me started on their donuts… On the way home to Maryland, I returned again to the little town of …

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19 October 2016

NASA: September 2016 was Hottest on Record

It was by a razor thin margin over 2015, but this September was the hottest on record based on NASA GISS data. NOAA does a separate analysis and puts it as number two after last Sept. NOAA did report that the land temps. in Sept. were the hottest on record, beating last year. Here is the stunning statistic: September 2016 was the 381st consecutive month with above average global temperatures. …

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18 October 2016

U.S. Model Issues Reach Main-Stream Media

Meteorologists have been talking about the long-range model issues for several years now, and many viewers of local weather already know that their local forecaster depends on the European long-range model much of the time. The superior performance of the European ECMWF global model made news during Hurricane Sandy, and the public likely first heard about the issue then. Congress did, because due to public pressure (and embarrassment?) NOAA finally …

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14 October 2016

Hurricane Force Winds Coming to Oregon/Washington

The last time that the NWS office in Portland,Oregon issued a tornado warning was in November of 2014, but they issued one today as an intense low moved through the Straits of Juan de Fuca and brought gusts over hurricane force on the aptly named Hurricane Ridge at Olympic Nat. Park. Winds are gusting to 44 mph south in Astoria,Oregon and this is just the first storm. The storm tomorrow will be …

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13 October 2016

Geomagnetic Storm May Bring Aurora Into the U.S. Tonight.

A fairly strong geomagnetic storm has produced some amazing aurora pics across Greenland and Norway in the last few hours, and there is a decent chance that the northern lights may reach as far as northern Pennsylvania late tonight. A large high pressure system is bringing clear skies and exceptionally good visibility to the Great Lakes, and NE U.S. tonight, so conditions will be good, IF the storm is strong …

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11 October 2016

Where The Rain Fell, and Where It’s Not for Many Weeks

The Deep South is in the midst of a brutal drought, with levels reaching severe to exceptional over parts of Georgia and Alabama, while not far away in Eastern Georgia, extending all the way to the Delmarva Peninsula, the exact opposite is the case. Look at the rainfall total maps below and you can see just how much rain has fallen from Matthew. In the Delmarva area, the week before …

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7 October 2016

What People Who Do Not Evacuate from A Hurricane Do Not Know

Have you been in a hurricane? I mean have you been in the eye-wall right by the eye, or in the actual eye of the storm?? Was it a category three or higher? Be honest with yourself, and think about that. If the answer is no, not really, then you have NOT been in a hurricane. I think this is why many people do not evacuate; they just do not …

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5 October 2016

Did The Euro Model Just Pull Another Forecast Coup?

Matthew is gaining strength again tonight, and Florida and South Carolina are still going to see a significant (perhaps severe) storm. If the eye stays out to sea, it will not be as bad as it could be, but if it crosses just inland, much greater damage and a major storm surge is likely. Still a rather large disagreement between the higher res. regional models and the global models today. The …

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4 October 2016

Matthew Becomes a Threat to the Southeast U.S.

We should know a lot more tomorrow about the track of Matthew. The odds are it will turn and pass near to the coast of Florida, and perhaps all the way up to the Outer Banks. There is a good chance that it will be close enough to bring very heavy rains from Florida to the Carolinas, and even as far north as the Delmarva area. The track on Matthew …

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It’s High Time to Shift Climate Change from Theory to Fact

Guest post by Erica Grow Meteorologist at WNBC New York City It happened again. August 2016 was the warmest August on record across the globe. If that news sounds familiar to you, you’re not mistaken. It was, in fact, the sixteenth straight month of record-breaking temperatures, with global average temperature data dating back to 1880. The so-called “Super El Nino”, which lasted from late 2014 through the first half of this …

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