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27 May 2010
Possible HYPERACTIVE Hurricane Season- NOAA
In my last post I gave some of the reasons I thought we would see a very active hurricane season. Here is what the NOAA folks think. They released their forecast for the 2010 season today. As I expected it looks like it will be a mean year. Possibly one of the all time most active years. Here are NOAA’s numbers: An 85% chance of an above normal season. A …
26 April 2010
High Risk- The Day After
The last several posts have been about the high risk of tornadoes over the Southeastern United States on Saturday. You probably have already heard of the tornado that hit Yazoo City in Mississippi . It left 10 dead and horrible damage. Later Saturday night, the tornadoes dropped again from new thunderstorms. These were much closer to home. We were on the air many hours as the storms moved across North …
24 April 2010
NOAA- Rare High Risk of Severe Storms For SE USA Saturday
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma has upgraded the moderate risk of severe weather to a HIGH RISK for a large area of North and Western Alabama and much of Mississippi for Saturday. New model guidance tonight indicates that wind shear and instability will be very conducive for the formation of super-cell thunderstorms and some long track tornadoes. The greatest threat will exist from mid morning Saturday through the …
23 April 2010
Update: Deadly Tornado Outbreak More Likley Now
A deadly weekend tornado outbreak is becoming more likely this evening. Conditions are coming together for potentially violent long track tornadoes across much of Mississippi and Alabama on Saturday. Tennessee, Arkansas and Louisiana are also threatened. It is quite possible conditions may reach the threshold for a rare High Risk outlook from the Storm Prediction Center (NOAA) in Norman. Several of the tornado watches tomorrow will be PDS watches. (Particularly …
Deadly Tornado Outbreak This Weekend??
It may sound crass and I do not mean it to be that way, but there are likely to be deaths from tornadoes in the next 48 hours. If only we could only say exactly where! What we can say is that conditions are coming together to make the development of a few strong tornadoes and they will likely be in Mississippi and Alabama on Saturday. Here in Alabama there …
18 April 2010
Iceland Volcano Quieting Down??
The weather radar at the Keflivik Airport is not seeing a plume from the ash cloud this evening. The last report from the UK Met. Office is a plume height of 16,000 feet. This is much lower than over much of the last 72 hours. There is also good news on the flight restrictions. The lower levels are looking much better. It looks possible that flights could operate from Paris …
17 April 2010
Ash Getting Worse! Flights Grounded Through Saturday
The UK has now grounded aircraft through 1AM GMT Sunday. The ash cloud has gotten worse and there is a new plume headed toward Europe as the image above indicates. Meteorologists from the Iceland Met Office flew o Friday near the volcano to check the height of the ash cloud and reported it is nearly 30,000 feet (10,000 meters). The upper level winds at this level will steer the ash …
16 April 2010
More Ash Headed for Europe? Probably (Updated)
The Iceland volcano that has shut down the air traffic over much of Europe sent ash clouds high again today and the news is not good. The upper level winds are likely to continue to blow the ash toward the UK and Northern Europe. Most of the ash is in a layer from 20,000 to 35,000 feet. Since most aircraft fly around 35,000 feet across the Atlantic, it is impacting …
7 April 2010
GOES 15 is Working! First Image in High Resolution!
NOAA released the first image from GOES 15 today. It will be checked out and then put in orbital storage until we lose either the GOES EAST or GOES WEST. Both are still working and will last awhile longer yet . This satellite is really not considerably different from the ones in use now. The next generation coming in a few years will be MUCH better and will revolutionise satellite meteorology and forecasting. …
23 February 2010
The Blizzard That Snuck Up On NYC and Boston??
So while I am looking intently at the model guidance for next week and the possible blizzard up the East Coast, Mother Nature decides not to wait! It is looking very likely that a snow hurricane may develop in 48 hours over the Northeast! I bet my friends Harvey Leonard and Dick Albert in Boston are locked away looking at weather charts right now! Will it be too warm for …
Dan Satterfield has worked as an on air meteorologist for 32 years in Oklahoma, Florida and Alabama. Forecasting weather is Dan's job, but all of Earth Science is his passion. This journal is where Dan writes about things he has too little time for on air. Dan blogs about peer-reviewed Earth science for Junior High level audiences and up.