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31 August 2010
Catching up – recent landslide events
The next few posts will be an attempt to catch up on the things that I missed whilst on vacation in Switzerland last week. Thanks to the many people who have tipped me off about landslide events. I will cover Pakistan in another post.1. A large flow in AustriaThanks to Martin Springer for highlighting this one. On Saturday 21st August a severe storm triggered a 100,000 cubic metre flow in …
3 August 2010
Update on the flood wave in Pakistan, plus an update on the monsoon in India and on typhoon activity in the NW Pacific
The true magnitude of the disaster in Pakistan is now becoming clear – this appears to be the country’s equivalent of Hurricane Katrina. It has to be hoped that lessons are learnt both within the country and by the international community in terms of disaster risk reduction there. In 2007 the World Health Organisation produced a flood potential map for Pakistan, which I reproduce below: The flood wave is travelling …
22 July 2010
The slow-burn rainfall disaster in China, whilst the monsoon in South Asia is weak so far
Although it has received scant attention in the west, China is currently undergoing a classic slow-burn weather disaster associated with exceptional rainfall. The scale is remarkable – Xinhua reports that since 1st July, 273 people have been killed and 218 people are missing, 3 million people have been displaced from their homes and 58 million people have been affected directly. Economic losses are estimated to be about US$8.6 billion. This …
24 February 2010
Framlingham College Presentation on the typhoon Morakot disaster in Taiwan
Last night I gave a public lecture on the Typhoon Morakot disaster in Taiwan. The talk may be viewed and downloaded here: 10_02 Framlingham comp http://www.authorstream.com/player/player.swf?p=332907_634025881557397500 See more presentations by Dr_Dave | Upload your own PowerPoint presentations
2 February 2010
The causes of the Shiaolin landslide disaster in Taiwan
The Shiaolin landslide disaster in Taiwan, which occurred during typhoon Morakot last August, has been the source of huge controversy. To recap, the landslide, which occurred during an exceptional rainfall event, wiped out Shiaolin village, killing about 500 people. The controversy centred on two key aspects – first, the perceived very slow response of the government to the disaster and second the possibility that tunneling associated with the Zengwen Reservoir …
7 January 2010
The ten most important "natural" disasters of the last ten years
As we are now at the end of the “noughties” I thought that it would be interesting to compile a list of the ten most important “natural” (i.e. geophysical and hydro-meteorological) disasters of the decade. This is not intended to be a list of the ten most damaging or with the highest number of fatalities, but more to reflect events that changed the way that we think or act about …
The ten most important “natural” disasters of the last ten years
As we are now at the end of the “noughties” I thought that it would be interesting to compile a list of the ten most important “natural” (i.e. geophysical and hydro-meteorological) disasters of the decade. This is not intended to be a list of the ten most damaging or with the highest number of fatalities, but more to reflect events that changed the way that we think or act about …
29 October 2009
Typhoon Mirinae (Santi)
Click here for the latest update Once again Luzon in the Philippines is staring down the barrel of a powerful tropical cyclone, Typhoon Mirinae (known locally as Typhoon Santi). The storm is currently forecast to track across the southern part of Luzon on Friday evening:The 24 hour eTRaP precipitation forecast for the storm suggests that it is, as expected, inducing substantial amounts of precipitation along track: At the moment the …
26 October 2009
Just when you thought it was safe to go out in Luzon…
…another potential typhoon appears (Tropical Storm 23): Unbelievable, although the track error this far out is of course very high.
23 October 2009
Typhoon Lupit stalls off the coast of Luzon
Typhoon Lupit (Ramil) has now stalled off the northern coast off Luzon and is forecast to recurve and to head northwards, whilst weakening as it encounters increasingly cold water over the next few days: This has been an extremely fortunate outcome, and one that has also exposed the continuing problems with forecasting typhoon tracks. The eTRap forecast for the precipitation over the next 24 hours clearly highlights just how close …

Dave Petley is the Vice-Chancellor of the University of Hull in the United Kingdom. His blog provides commentary and analysis of landslide events occurring worldwide, including the landslides themselves, latest research, and conferences and meetings.
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