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28 January 2015

Predicting the Weather is Tricky Work

This is a guest post by long-time Raleigh North Carolina Meteorologist (and friend) Greg Fishel of WRAL-TV During Tuesday’s 4 p.m. and 6 p.m. news, I talked about ensembles, how they outperformed the deterministic models for New York City last night and that they appear to be performing better for the local area with regard to a storm arriving on Sunday. First, what are ensembles and why are they so …


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30 January 2014

The Governor of Georgia Is Entitled To His Own Opinion, But Not His Own Facts

There is a firestorm brewing tonight over remarks by Georgia Governor Nathan Deal who blamed the National Weather Service forecast for the mess on Georgia roads last night, when thousands were stranded in their cars on icy freeways. To quote Daniel Patrick Moynihan, the Governor “is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts.” While no forecast is ever perfect, the NWS did NOT miss the forecast. For …


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5 March 2013

Why It’s So Difficult To Forecast Snowfall

Big Storm Brewing  March looks like it will come in like a lion this week with a major storm likely to cause significant disruptions from Northern Virginia to Maine. The heaviest snow will probably fall just west fo the I-95 corridor but it will be a heavy wet snow, and it may be heavy enough to cause major power outages. Some guidance is indicating over 2 feet of snow and that might even cause structural damage …


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