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28 February 2014

Did The Farmers Almanac Winter Forecast Verify?? Nope!

I suspect a lot of folks think the Farmers Almanac winter forecast was right, and the reason they think so is because of CONFIRMATION BIAS. Science in many ways is a vaccine against confirmation bias. Read the link on confirmation bias, and my friend Jim Gandy’s guest post. Then you will understand something that those who read horoscopes, wear magic bracelets, or buy pills for their prostate (hawked by retired …


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26 August 2013

Note To CBS: This is NOT News, It’s Make Believe.

CBS has put this AP story on the front page of its website this evening. To say It’s patently ridiculous would be a severe understatement, because there is NO evidence that “Based on planetary positions, sunspots and lunar cycles” one can forecast the winter weather in North America. NONE, Nada, Zip, and ZILCH. Have I made my point yet?? We live in a world where being informed is important, and …


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