19 November 2019

NOAA: October 2019 Was 2nd hottest. 5 Hottest Octobers All since 2013.

Posted by Dan Satterfield

This from NOAA :

The combined global land and ocean surface temperature departure from average for October 2019 was the second-highest for October in the 140-year record at 0.98°C (1.76°F) above the 20th century average 14.0°C (57.1°F). This value is just 0.06°C (0.11°F) shy of tying the record warm October set in 2015.

The 10 warmest Octobers have occurred since 2003; however, the five warmest Octobers have all occurred since 2015. The Octobers in 2015, 2018, and 2019 were the only Octobers with a land and ocean temperature departure from average above +0.90°C (+1.62°F). This was also the 43rd consecutive October and the 418th consecutive month with temperatures, at least nominally, above the 20th-century average.

It is almost certain that when the year is done, the 5 hottest years globally will be the last five years. The odds of that happening naturally in a non-warming climate are astronomically low. Oh, and for your uncle who tells you at Thanksgiving dinner that we are still coming out of the ice age. The peak temperature of the Holocene was about a thousand years before Cheops built the first Egyptian pyramid.

 I’m sure your uncle will come up with some other explanation besides the correct one. I’ll also bet you it will be just as silly. You could ask him to watch this video though about the Dunning Kruger Effect.