21 August 2015
Danny now has winds near the center at 115 mph, but it is actually a rather tiny storm. Latest model runs continue a west-NW track but dry air is just to the north and wind shear will begin to impact the storm in about 48 hours. This should weaken it and the latest hires numerical model guidance shows just that.
The intensity forecast from the HWRF model shows it weakening to a tropical storm in 72 hours.
Notice the dry air (brown areas) in the latest water vapor imagery from the GOES East satellite. This makes me think that Danny is now as strong as it may ever be.