10 July 2015
Super Typhoon Headed Toward 23 Million People in Shanghai
Posted by Dan Satterfield
The latest track from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center shows Super Typhoon Chan-Hom passing very near Shanghai, and landfall will likely be south of the city, putting Shanghai in the path of the highest storm surge. Winds are estimated at 120 knots, and while it will weaken some before landfall, it will still likely produce a major storm surge. This storm looks very healthy on satellite images tonight, and it may still be producing winds over 110 mph at landfall, putting it close to Category 3 strength.
The typhoon will likely make landfall late Friday evening U.S. East Coast time, or midday Saturday in China.
The image below is the surface pressure and 850 hPa wind speed forecast by the NOAA GFS model for Friday Evening U.S Time. These winds are around 1500 meters above the surface and will give a good idea of wind gusts. Looks like 110 knot gusts at least.