You are browsing the archive for 23 July 2009 - Dan's Wild Wild Science Journal.

23 July 2009

Breakthrough in Hurricane Predictions?? Maybe!

There was an intriguing paper in Science this month about tropical cyclone predictions. Every spring, there is considerable media attention to the forecasts from Colorado State and NOAA, on how many hurricanes we can expect.  Every  spring, I remind my viewers that these forecasts have little skill. Nonetheless, you cannot learn to forecast something unless you try and trying brings new knowledge and insight. So have at it, but tell the …


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