{"id":4721,"date":"2012-05-12T08:17:27","date_gmt":"2012-05-12T08:17:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=4721"},"modified":"2012-05-12T08:17:29","modified_gmt":"2012-05-12T08:17:29","slug":"more-information-on-the-landslide-that-caused-the-seti-flood-in-nepal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/12\/more-information-on-the-landslide-that-caused-the-seti-flood-in-nepal\/","title":{"rendered":"More information on the landslide that caused the Seti Flood in Nepal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over the last few days <a href=\"http:\/\/www.earth.columbia.edu\/eidirectory\/displayuser.php?userid=818\">Colin Stark<\/a> and I have spent some time trying to determine the <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/06\/flash-flood-in-nepal-kills-at-least-15-with-up-to-36-more-missing\/\">nature of the landslide that was responsible for the catastrophic flood on the Seti River, close to Pokhara in Nepal<\/a>, which <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thehimalayantimes.com\/fullNews.php?headline=Seti+flood%3A+Another+body+identified&amp;NewsID=331668\">killed 72 people<\/a>.\u00a0 We are trying to tie together <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/09\/using-seismic-data-to-analyse-the-seti-river-landslide-in-nepal\/\">the amazing data from the seismic network<\/a> with observations and timings.\u00a0 The primary source of information has been the remarkable videos and photos collected by Captain Alexander Maximov of the <a href=\"http:\/\/aviaclubnepal.com\/\">Aviaclub Nepal<\/a>, who was flying over the valley at the time.\u00a0 You will recall that Captain Maximov raised the alarm about the flood, which may have saved many lives.\u00a0 I must at this stage thank <a href=\"http:\/\/aviaclubnepal.com\/\">Captain Maximov and Aviaclub Nepal<\/a> for both their prompt action and for their help &#8211; a mountain flight with them is definitely on my &#8220;to-do&#8221; list next time I am in Nepal!<\/p>\n<p>The latest, genuinely remarkable, development is that Captain Maximov captured the landslide as it occurred on a video that he was shooting from the wing of the aircraft.\u00a0 He has posted the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Uk82ggshSKs\">video on Youtube<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Uk82ggshSKs<\/p>\n<p>You will see that the aircraft was flying orbits to allow sightseeing.\u00a0 On the first orbit the slope was apparently stable, in the second it was in full collapse mode, generating huge amounts of dust.\u00a0 Note the lack of an obvious triggering process (clear weather, no seismicity).\u00a0 These two frames from the film arereally interesting.\u00a0 This is from the first orbit, showing the site of the landslide:<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-4722\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/12\/more-information-on-the-landslide-that-caused-the-seti-flood-in-nepal\/12_05-seti-1\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4722\" title=\"12_05 Seti 1\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2012\/05\/12_05-Seti-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"642\" height=\"388\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2012\/05\/12_05-Seti-1.png 643w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2012\/05\/12_05-Seti-1-300x181.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 642px) 100vw, 642px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And here is one from the second orbit with the landslide in full motion:<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-4723\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/12\/more-information-on-the-landslide-that-caused-the-seti-flood-in-nepal\/12_05-seti-2\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4723\" title=\"12_05 Seti 2\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2012\/05\/12_05-Seti-2-e1336808500886.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"386\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The two images are only 1 minute and 16 seconds apart, but the failure is apparently stable in the first and full developed in the second.\u00a0 This is consistent with the observations from the seismic data of course, which indicates that the entire event took less than two minutes.<\/p>\n<p>Colin has worked very hard to use the video to determine the location of the landslide.\u00a0 The best estimate is that is was here (this is my interpretation of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.earth.columbia.edu\/eidirectory\/displayuser.php?userid=818\">Colin Stark<\/a>&#8216;s great work on this, please treat is as very speculative):<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-4724\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/12\/more-information-on-the-landslide-that-caused-the-seti-flood-in-nepal\/12_05-seti-3\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4724\" title=\"12_05 Seti 3\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2012\/05\/12_05-Seti-3-e1336809305837.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"373\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is the flank of the mountain known as Annapurna IV.<\/p>\n<p>The flood event itself was very destructive.\u00a0 If you have not seen in it, this video shows the wave passing downstream:<\/p>\n<p>www.youtube.com\/watch?v=3W0HbJRN8JE<\/p>\n<p>The mechanism through which the wave was generated remains unclear.\u00a0 To my mind the initial assumption that it was a <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/05\/06\/flash-flood-in-nepal-kills-at-least-15-with-up-to-36-more-missing\/\">landslide dam break flood<\/a> seems in question given the location of the landslide.\u00a0 I wonder if the slide caused extensive melting of glacial ice in the valley?\u00a0 Alternative possibilities are the transition to a debris flow of the landslide mass itself, which then entrained extensively downslope, or the mobilisation of sediments in the valley.<\/p>\n<p>I would be very grateful for comments and thoughts on this.\u00a0 Needless to say, satellite imagery of the landslide deposit would be absolutely invaluable.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An analysis, based on an amazing video of the landslide in action, of the rock avalanche that caused the Seti River flood in Nepal<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":4723,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[469,59,66,306],"class_list":["post-4721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-landslide-report","tag-featured","tag-flood","tag-nepal","tag-rock-avalanche"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4721","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4721"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4721\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4723"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4721"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}