{"id":4645,"date":"2012-04-25T14:18:52","date_gmt":"2012-04-25T14:18:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=4645"},"modified":"2012-04-25T14:18:53","modified_gmt":"2012-04-25T14:18:53","slug":"increasing-landslide-hazards-and-the-three-gorges-dam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/04\/25\/increasing-landslide-hazards-and-the-three-gorges-dam\/","title":{"rendered":"Increasing landslide hazards and the Three Gorges Dam"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A couple of weeks ago I <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/04\/10\/the-xintan-landslide-in-the-three-gorges-area-of-china\/\">posted several images<\/a> from my recent visit to China Three Gorges University, and in particular on <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/04\/09\/chain-rock-deforming-rock-mass-on-the-banks-of-three-gorges-reservoir\/\">landslides on the banks of the reservoir<\/a> associated with the <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/04\/08\/images-of-the-three-gorges-dam-ship-lock-wall\/\">Three Gorges Dam<\/a>.\u00a0 Interestingly, last week, whilst I was on vacation, a number of news agencies ran a story about landslide hazards in this area.\u00a0 The spur appears to have been an interview on China National Radio with an official, Liu  Yuan, from the Ministry of Land Resources .\u00a0 According to the <a href=\"http:\/\/english.cri.cn\/6909\/2012\/04\/18\/2021s694058.htm\">CRI English report<\/a>, Liu Yuan indicated that up to 100,000 people living on the banks of the reservoir will need to be relocated over the next three to five years as a result of landslides and bank collapses.\u00a0 The <a href=\"http:\/\/english.cri.cn\/6909\/2012\/04\/18\/2021s694058.htm\">news report<\/a> notes that he stated that:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The prospect of controlling or preventing geological disasters in the  near future was not promising&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Perhaps most interesting is that Liu Yuan stated that (in the words of the <a href=\"http:\/\/english.cri.cn\/6909\/2012\/04\/18\/2021s694058.htm\">report<\/a>):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;After the water levels were raised, there were 70 percent more  landslides and bank collapses in the area than had been predicted&#8230;[and]&#8230; an increasing number of monitoring sites were seeing  adverse effects from the maximum water level.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Liu indicated that management of rockfalls and landslides is needed at 335  sites, and that there is a need to monitor 5,386 dangerous locations.<\/p>\n<p>Landslides were identified as being a major hazard of the Three Gorges project more than a decade ago, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chinadialogue.net\/article\/show\/single\/en\/1448-Vajont-s-message-for-the-Three-Gorges\">several years ago I wrote that<\/a> although a <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2008\/12\/11\/the-vaiont-vajont-landslide-of-1963\/http:\/\/\">Vaiont style event<\/a> was unlikely, landslides would probably be a major problem.\u00a0 To give an indication of the concerns, the image below is the Qianjinangping landslide, which I visited on my recent trip.\u00a0 It occurred as the water level was being raised in July 2003.\u00a0 The landslide killed 24 people, destroyed 346 houses and caused the loss of four factories.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-4646\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2012\/04\/25\/increasing-landslide-hazards-and-the-three-gorges-dam\/dscf1449\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4646\" title=\"DSCF1449\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2012\/04\/DSCF1449-e1335362934558.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, the loss of life consisted of 13 people on the slope and 11 fishermen, who were hit by the displacement wave.\u00a0 This is believed to have been up to 30 m high.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News reports indicate that landslide hazards on the banks of the Three Gorges Dam reservoir are much worse than expected. <!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":4646,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[16,469,335,621],"class_list":["post-4645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-landslide-video","tag-china","tag-featured","tag-reservoir","tag-three-gorges-dam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4645"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4645\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4646"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}