{"id":42957,"date":"2023-02-23T06:57:06","date_gmt":"2023-02-23T06:57:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=42957"},"modified":"2023-02-23T06:57:06","modified_gmt":"2023-02-23T06:57:06","slug":"vila-sahy-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2023\/02\/23\/vila-sahy-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Vila Sahy, S\u00e3o Paulo: extreme rainfall in Brazil has triggered multiple fatal landslides"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Vila Sahy, S\u00e3o Paulo: extreme rainfall in Brazil has triggered multiple fatal landslides<\/h4>\n<p>On 19 February 2023, heavy rainfall impacted S\u00e3o Paulo state in <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?s=brazil&amp;submit.x=0&amp;submit.y=0&amp;mswhere=blog\">Brazil<\/a>, triggering landslides and floods.\u00a0 At least 48 people have been killed with a further 38 people reported to be missing.\u00a0 The rainfall was centred on the S\u00e3o Sebastiao, in which 47 fatalities have been reported.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/sp\/vale-do-paraiba-regiao\/noticia\/2023\/02\/21\/exclusivo-imagens-aereas-de-drone-mostram-destruicao-na-vila-do-sahy-no-litoral-de-sp.ghtml\"> The Brazil news agency G1 has a very good drone video of the impact of the landslides in Vila Sahy, collected by Andre Bastos &#8211; it is well worth a watch<\/a>.\u00a0 G1 reports that 34 of the victims died at Vila Sahy, which appears to have been the worst affected location.\u00a0 This still is from that video:-<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42960\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42960\" class=\"wp-image-42960 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-1.jpg\" alt=\"Drone footage of the aftermath of landslides in Vila Sahy in S\u00e3o Sebasti\u00e3o, S\u00e3o Paolo. \" width=\"1014\" height=\"570\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-1.jpg 1014w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-1-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1014px) 100vw, 1014px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-42960\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Drone footage of the aftermath of landslides in Vila Sahy in S\u00e3o Sebasti\u00e3o, S\u00e3o Paolo. <a href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/sp\/vale-do-paraiba-regiao\/noticia\/2023\/02\/21\/exclusivo-imagens-aereas-de-drone-mostram-destruicao-na-vila-do-sahy-no-litoral-de-sp.ghtml\">Still from a drone video collected by Andre Bastos, via G1<\/a>.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/www1.folha.uol.com.br\/cotidiano\/2023\/02\/quem-pode-pagar-sai-de-helicoptero-enquanto-sahy-vive-cenario-de-guerra-diz-hospede-ilhada.shtml\">Folha de Da S\u00e3o Paolo<\/a> has this image (behind a paywall) of the site from a different angle:-<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42962\" style=\"width: 778px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42962\" class=\"size-full wp-image-42962\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-2.jpg\" alt=\"Drone image of the aftermath of landslides in Vila Sahy in S\u00e3o Sebasti\u00e3o, S\u00e3o Paolo. \" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-2.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-2-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-42962\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Drone image of the aftermath of landslides in Vila Sahy in S\u00e3o Sebasti\u00e3o, S\u00e3o Paolo. <a href=\"https:\/\/www1.folha.uol.com.br\/cotidiano\/2023\/02\/quem-pode-pagar-sai-de-helicoptero-enquanto-sahy-vive-cenario-de-guerra-diz-hospede-ilhada.shtml\">Image from Folha de Da S\u00e3o Paolo<\/a>.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>Vila Sahy is located at [-23.766, -45.690]. This is a Google Earth image of the site:-<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42964\" style=\"width: 810px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42964\" class=\"wp-image-42964\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-3.jpg\" alt=\"Google Earth image of Vila Sahy in S\u00e3o Sebasti\u00e3o, S\u00e3o Paolo before the recent landslides.\" width=\"800\" height=\"505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-3.jpg 1519w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-3-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-3-1024x646.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-3-768x485.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-42964\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Google Earth image of Vila Sahy in S\u00e3o Sebasti\u00e3o, S\u00e3o Paolo before the recent landslides.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>The town has built up on an area of level ground that is probably formed primarily from colluvium from previous slope failures from the adjacent slopes.\u00a0 The houses push right up to the foot of the slopes, which (judging by\u00a0 the images above) appear to be formed from deeply weathered (residual) soils.\u00a0 Instability on these slopes is likely in exceptional rainfall events, so tragically these houses were extremely exposed to the hazard.<\/p>\n<p>On Twitter, Raphael Rocha (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/raphaeldeque\">@raphaeldeque<\/a>), a Brazilian meteorologist, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/raphaeldeque\/status\/1628242347455553537\">has an excellent thread highlighting the impacts of the rainfall<\/a>:-<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">First assessment of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DisastersChart?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@DisastersChart<\/a> activation #803 on recent floods and landslides in Brazil. Events triggered by heavy rains above 600 mm in 24h on northern S\u00e3o Paulo coast.<\/p>\n<p>46 fatalities, 49 missing, and 2500 displaced. Updates expected. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/P1AMkGGfjG\">pic.twitter.com\/P1AMkGGfjG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Raphael Rocha (@raphaeldeque) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/raphaeldeque\/status\/1628242347455553537?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 22, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-1dbjc4n r-1awozwy r-z2wwpe r-6koalj r-1q142lx\">.<\/p>\n<p>Raphael highlights that 600 mm of rainfall fell in just 12 hours, including peak rainfall intensities of 140 mmm per hours.\u00a0 This is an astonishing amount of rainfall.<\/p>\n<p>Heavy rainfall is continuing to occur in Brazil at the time of writing, and there are warnings of further landslides.\u00a0 On 22 February 2023, a landslide was triggered in Rio Natal in S\u00e3o Bento do Sul, Santa Catarina, derailing a train.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/sc\/santa-catarina\/noticia\/2023\/02\/22\/trem-e-atingido-por-deslizamento-de-terra-e-descarrila-locomotivas-e-vagoes-apos-chuvas-em-sc.ghtml\">G1 has images of the aftermath<\/a>:-<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42966\" style=\"width: 809px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42966\" class=\" wp-image-42966\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-4.jpg\" alt=\"The aftermath of a landslide that derailed a train in in Rio Natal, in S\u00e3o Bento do Sul , in the north of Santa Catarina, Brazil.\" width=\"799\" height=\"448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-4.jpg 1543w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-4-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-4-1024x574.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-4-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2023\/02\/23_02-SP-4-1536x861.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 799px) 100vw, 799px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-42966\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>The aftermath of a landslide that derailed a train in in Rio Natal, in S\u00e3o Bento do Sul , in the north of Santa Catarina, Brazil. <a href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/sc\/santa-catarina\/noticia\/2023\/02\/22\/trem-e-atingido-por-deslizamento-de-terra-e-descarrila-locomotivas-e-vagoes-apos-chuvas-em-sc.ghtml\">Image from G1<\/a>.<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>This recent set of events is causing a great deal of reflection about landslide risk in Brazil.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/ojornalextra.com.br\/noticias\/alagoas\/2023\/02\/87561-brasil-tem-135-mil-areas-de-risco-mapeadas-196-estao-em-alagoas\">Jornal Extra reports that there are 13,542 sites known to be at risk of landslides, flooding, runoff and erosion<\/a>.\u00a0 About 4 million people are believed to live in these areas. <a href=\"https:\/\/rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1002\/joc.6818\">As short duration rainfall intensities and totals continue to rise<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00382-020-05333-z\">driven at least in part by global heating<\/a>, it is inevitable that I will be writing about tragedies such as these in Brazil in the future.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vila Sahy, S\u00e3o Paulo: about 600 mm of rainfall in 12 hours, including a peak intensity of 10 mm\/hr, has triggered multiple fatal landslides.<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt 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