{"id":42486,"date":"2022-12-23T10:45:48","date_gmt":"2022-12-23T10:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=42486"},"modified":"2022-12-23T10:51:12","modified_gmt":"2022-12-23T10:51:12","slug":"losses-from-debris-flows-in-brazil-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2022\/12\/23\/losses-from-debris-flows-in-brazil-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Losses from debris flows in Brazil"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Losses from debris flows in Brazil<\/h4>\n<p>It is well-established that Brazil has a substantial problem with landslides, most notably in the urban areas in the southeast of the country.\u00a0 An Open Access paper just published in <a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/journal\/10346\"><em>Landslides<\/em><\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10346-022-01984-7\">Cabral <em>et al.<\/em> 2022<\/a>) provides a detailed analysis of one type of landslide in the country, debris flows.\u00a0 The paper looks at recorded events in the period between 1920 and 2021 inclusive.<\/p>\n<p>In total, the authors have documented 45 debris flow events over this period in Brazil, causing 5,771 fatalities and US$5,5 billion in economic losses.\u00a0 The most serious events occurred on 11 January 2011 in the vicinity of Rio de Janeiro, when heavy rainfall triggered three separate debris flows that killed a total of 892 people.\u00a0 But very large events have occurred at other times.\u00a0 For example, on 18 March 1967 a debris flow at Caraguatatuba, Sao Paolo killed 436 people, and on 19 February 1988 a debris flow in Rio de Janeiro killed 289 people.<\/p>\n<p>In 2010 a debris flow triggered within a deactivated landfill area in Niter\u00f3i killed 48 people and left a further 221 missing.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/sdut-at-least-200-buried-feared-dead-in-rio-mudslide-2010apr08-story.html\">There is a contemporary report on this event in the San Diego Union Tribune<\/a>, which includes this image:-<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42489\" style=\"width: 810px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42489\" class=\" wp-image-42489\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2022\/12\/22_12-Niteroi-1.jpg\" alt=\"The aftermath of the 1988 landslide at Niteroi in Brazil. \" width=\"800\" height=\"529\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2022\/12\/22_12-Niteroi-1.jpg 976w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2022\/12\/22_12-Niteroi-1-300x198.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2022\/12\/22_12-Niteroi-1-768x508.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-42489\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>The aftermath of the 1988 landslide at Niteroi in Brazil. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/sdut-at-least-200-buried-feared-dead-in-rio-mudslide-2010apr08-story.html\">Image by AP Photo\/Felipe Dana via the San Diego Tribune.<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps the most interesting aspect of this study is the analysis of events and losses through time.\u00a0 (<a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10346-022-01984-7\">Cabral <em>et al.<\/em> 2022<\/a>)\u00a0report the following:<\/p>\n<p><em>There has not been a significant increase [in the number of events] in recent decades, with the frequency averaging at about seven per decade since the 1960s. Prior to 1960s, the documentation of debris-flow events is scarcer, which can be associated to lower levels of urbanization and, consequently, a lower societal impact. The number of fatalities along the years has also been steady since the 1960s, with the decades of 1960s and 2010s standing out as those with the highest number of fatalities, particularly in the years of 1967 and 2011. These two years are characterized by the high-magnitude debris-flow events in Caraguatatuba and Serra das Araras (1967), and Teres\u00f3polis, Petr\u00f3polis and Nova Friburgo (2011).<\/em><\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, economic losses have accelerated dramatically, probably related primarily to increased urbanisation and economic activity, meaning that more assets with a higher value were in the path of debris flows.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10346-022-01984-7\">Cabral <em>et al.<\/em> (2022<\/a>)\u00a0conclude the abstract with the following, which is hard to deny:<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8230;these results highlight the urgent need for investments in disaster prevention and preparedness programs.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Reference<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Cabral, V., Reis, F., Veloso, V.\u00a0<i>et al.<\/i> 2022. <a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10346-022-01984-7\">The consequences of debris flows in Brazil: a historical analysis based on recorded events in the last 100 years<\/a>. <i>Landslides<\/i>. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10346-022-01984-7<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An open access paper in the journal Landslides (Cabral et al. 2022) analyses debris flows in Brazil over the last century, finding that 45 events have killed 5,771 people and generated US$5,5 billion in economic losses.<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":42489,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[544],"tags":[102,469,17,788,122],"class_list":["post-42486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-review-of-a-paper","tag-brazil","tag-featured","tag-research","tag-review-of-a-paper-2","tag-south-america"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42486\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/42489"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}