{"id":40277,"date":"2022-02-22T07:58:59","date_gmt":"2022-02-22T07:58:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=40277"},"modified":"2022-02-22T07:58:59","modified_gmt":"2022-02-22T07:58:59","slug":"molise-aftermath","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2022\/02\/22\/molise-aftermath\/","title":{"rendered":"Increased landslide activity after low-magnitude earthquakes"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Increased landslide activity after low-magnitude earthquakes<\/h4>\n<p>Over the last 25 years there has been increasing awareness and understanding of landslides triggered by high-magnitude earthquakes.\u00a0 Key events in generating our understanding have included the <a href=\"https:\/\/pubs.usgs.gov\/pp\/pp1551\/pp1551c\/#:~:text=Given%20these%20conditions%20and%20history,roads%2C%20and%20many%20other%20structures.\">1989 Loma Prieta earthquake in California<\/a>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2009\/09\/17\/presentations-on-day-1-of-the-international-conference-in-commemoration-of-the-10th-anniversary-of-the-1999-chi-chi-earthquake-in-taiwan\/\">1999 ChiChi earthquake in Taiwan<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2018\/05\/15\/research-legacy-1\/\">2008 Wenchuan earthquake in China<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?s=earthquake+AND+landslide&amp;submit.x=0&amp;submit.y=0&amp;mswhere=blog\">amongst many others<\/a>.\u00a0 There has also been an increased awareness of the <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2021\/03\/10\/gorkha-earthquake\/\">elevated occurrence of landslides in earthquake affected areas for years or even decades after the main shock<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This understanding has raised the intriguing question as to whether low-magnitude events also have an impact on landslide occurrence in the years following the main shock, and if so, how large is the impact?\u00a0 This is a difficult issue to unpick as the effects are likely to be comparatively small, and will occur over a much more limited area.<\/p>\n<p>A paper just published in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/srep\"><em>Nature Scientific Reports<\/em><\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-022-06508-w\">Martino <em>et al.<\/em> 2022<\/a>) explores this issue in relation to the 16 August 2018 Mw=5.1 earthquake in the Molise area of central Italy.\u00a0 This earthquake triggered 84 landslides, primarily consisting of the movement of soil materials on comparatively low angled slopes. <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2018\/08\/29\/molise-earthquake-1\/\">I posted about this earthquake at the time<\/a>, including this image of a landslide triggered by the event:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_28484\" style=\"width: 810px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-28484\" class=\" wp-image-28484\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2018\/08\/Fig5.jpg\" alt=\"Slope failures triggered by the 16 August Molise earthquake in Italy. \" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2018\/08\/Fig5.jpg 4032w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2018\/08\/Fig5-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2018\/08\/Fig5-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2018\/08\/Fig5-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-28484\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Slope failures triggered by the 16 August Molise earthquake in Italy. Image from Salvatore Martino, University of Roma \u201cSapienza\u201d.<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>The authors have used differential <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?s=insar&amp;submit.x=0&amp;submit.y=0&amp;mswhere=blog\">InSAR analysis<\/a> to examine the movement of these slopes for the two years prior to the Molise earthquake and in the year after.\u00a0 \u00a0Landslides in this area are primarily triggered by rainfall, which has a seasonal distribution.\u00a0 Thus, most slope movements occur in the autumn and winter.\u00a0 Over the three years of the study the seasonal rainfall totals were comparable, but in the post-earthquake year there was an increases of 118% in the number of reactivations of the landslides detected using the InSAR technique.\u00a0 The main effect was seen in the first three months after the mainshock.\u00a0 Thereafter it declined over a period of about three months, and by the spring the effect had disappeared.<\/p>\n<p>The authors specifically exclude the possibility that this increase in landslide activity was related to increased rainfall after the earthquake &#8211; indeed the autumn and winter was slightly less wet than in the previous two years.<\/p>\n<p>The mechanical cause of this increase in landslide activity is not clear to me.\u00a0 There is a range of possibilities, including weakening of the materials, with strength being regained over time; the retention of localised high pore water pressures in the slope after the earthquake, which then reduce; the effects of aftershocks that of course decline with time; temporary changes in the drainage of the slopes; or the opening of fractures that allow rainfall to infiltrate, but which then clog up.<\/p>\n<p>More research is needed into this effect, both in times of the degree to which it occurs elsewhere and the causes of it.\u00a0 But it is a really interesting result that is important both for our understanding of hazard and the evolution of landscapes.<\/p>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>Reference<\/p>\n<p>Martino, S., Fiorucci, M., Marmoni, G.M.\u00a0<i>et al.<\/i> 2022. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-022-06508-w\">Increase in landslide activity after a low-magnitude earthquake as inferred from DInSAR interferometry<\/a>. <i>Scientific Reports<\/i>\u00a0<b>12,\u00a0<\/b>2686. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41598-022-06508-w<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new study has found increased landslide activity in the months after the low-magnitude 2018 Molise earthquake in Italy<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":28484,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[537],"tags":[144,469,36,17,788],"class_list":["post-40277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-earthquake-induced-landslide","tag-europe","tag-featured","tag-italy","tag-research","tag-review-of-a-paper-2"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40277"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40277\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}