{"id":3243,"date":"2011-06-21T07:15:29","date_gmt":"2011-06-21T07:15:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=3243"},"modified":"2011-06-21T07:15:29","modified_gmt":"2011-06-21T07:15:29","slug":"fatality-inducing-landslides-in-2011-the-scorecard-at-the-summer-solstice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2011\/06\/21\/fatality-inducing-landslides-in-2011-the-scorecard-at-the-summer-solstice\/","title":{"rendered":"Fatality-inducing landslides in 2011 &#8211; the scorecard at the summer solstice"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The summer solstice seems to be a good point to reflect upon landslides in 2011 to date.\u00a0 As of yesterday I had recorded 135 landslides worldwide that have caused loss of life, with 1867 victims.\u00a0 The graph below shows the cumulative total number of fatalities by month for the period 2003 to 2011.\u00a0 The average cumulative number is also shown:<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-3244\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2011\/06\/21\/fatality-inducing-landslides-in-2011-the-scorecard-at-the-summer-solstice\/11_065-cumulative-total\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3244\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/06\/11_065-cumulative-total.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"607\" height=\"341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/06\/11_065-cumulative-total.jpg 607w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/06\/11_065-cumulative-total-300x168.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 607px) 100vw, 607px\" \/><\/a>Interestingly, and perhaps surprisingly, to date 2011 is a very average year in terms of fatality-inducing landslide occurrence worldwide, although the number of victims is higher than usual.\u00a0 In terms of overall trend it resembles very closely 2008.\u00a0 It is then interesting to look at a graph of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.esrl.noaa.gov\/psd\/enso\/mei\/table.html\">monthly NOAA El Nino index<\/a> for all of the years shown above:<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-3245\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2011\/06\/21\/fatality-inducing-landslides-in-2011-the-scorecard-at-the-summer-solstice\/11_06-noaa-el-nino\/\"><\/a><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-3246\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2011\/06\/21\/fatality-inducing-landslides-in-2011-the-scorecard-at-the-summer-solstice\/11_06-noaa-el-nino-2\/\"><\/a><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-3247\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2011\/06\/21\/fatality-inducing-landslides-in-2011-the-scorecard-at-the-summer-solstice\/11_06-noaa-el-nino-3\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3247\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/06\/11_06-NOAA-El-Nino2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"436\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/06\/11_06-NOAA-El-Nino2.jpg 634w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/06\/11_06-NOAA-El-Nino2-300x206.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 634px) 100vw, 634px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nA quick note about this data &#8211; each month number represents two months &#8211; i.e. 1 = Dec-Jan; 2 = Jan-Feb, etc.\u00a0 Negative numbers represent La Nina conditions, positive El Nino.\u00a0 What is clear here is that 2008 and 2011 both had strong La Nina conditions at the start of the year, in stark contrast to, for example, 2010, which had strong El Nino conditions.\u00a0 It is not reasonable to argue that the landslide pattern in the early part of the year is controlled solely by the El Nino &#8211; La Nina cycle of course, but a good working hypothesis for further investigation would be that it does play a role.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dave provides a brief review of fatality-inducing landslides in 2011 to date, comparing the data with previous years.<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":3247,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[542],"tags":[45,543,469],"class_list":["post-3243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-database-2","tag-database","tag-fatality","tag-featured"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3243"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3243\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3247"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}