{"id":2718,"date":"2011-03-11T08:05:35","date_gmt":"2011-03-11T08:05:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=2718"},"modified":"2011-03-11T08:30:47","modified_gmt":"2011-03-11T08:30:47","slug":"first-reports-of-the-m-8-9-earthquake-in-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2011\/03\/11\/first-reports-of-the-m-8-9-earthquake-in-japan\/","title":{"rendered":"First reports of the M = 8.9 earthquake in Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Updated 08:30 UT with aftershock information at the end the post<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>At 05:46 local time this morning a very large earthquake struck off the east coast of Japan.\u00a0 When such events occur the first port of call for information is always the <a href=\"http:\/\/earthquake.usgs.gov\/\">USGS earthquake site<\/a>, which <a href=\"http:\/\/earthquake.usgs.gov\/earthquakes\/eqinthenews\/2011\/usc0001xgp\/#scitech\">is reporting that the provisional assessment<\/a> of the event is that it had a magnitude of\u00a0 8.9 (but this will be refined over the next few hours). The depth is comparatively shallow for such a large earthquake at about 24 km.\u00a0 The nearest large city is Sendai, 130 km to the west.\u00a0 The USGS shakemap, shown below, suggests that a large area of northern Japan will have suffered significant shaking:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-Japan-shakemap.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2719 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-Japan-shakemap.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"612\" height=\"714\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-Japan-shakemap.jpg 612w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-Japan-shakemap-257x300.jpg 257w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 612px) 100vw, 612px\" \/><\/a>This is a very\u00a0 large event and potentially extremely destructive  event &#8211; indeed it could well be one of the more expensive  earthquakes in terms of financial losses once the tsunami is taken into consideration.\u00a0 PAGER data suggests over 2 million people in the intensity = VIII zone, which suggests that the damage from shaking\u00a0 alone will be significant, and large numbers of landslides in the mountains are likely.\u00a0 Fortunately, with the tight building codes in Japan the loss of life from building collapse is unlikely to replicate the events in places like Haiti, but is unlikely to be negligable.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, the real threat here is the tsunami, and once again we are seeing remarkable images of the destructive power of these waves.\u00a0 For information on tsunami events a good starting point is the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gdacs.org\/\">GDACS site<\/a>, which already has a page dedicated to the event.\u00a0 This is forecasting tsunami heights in excess of 5 metres.\u00a0 As I write the tsunami is propagating across the ocean, a chilling thought, though the lack of major inhabited areas to the east is fortunate in terms of evacuation times.\u00a0 Hopefully potentially affected communities will receive the warnings in time:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2720 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"595\" height=\"595\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami.jpg 595w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami-300x300.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 595px) 100vw, 595px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Thanks to Anthony Miner in Australia for sending a link to<a href=\"http:\/\/news.ninemsn.com.au\/world\/8222815\/japans-top-tsunami-warning-after-quake\"> this remarkable footage<\/a> of the event.\u00a0 There is a gallery of some images <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sacbee.com\/2011\/03\/10\/3467033\/gallery-earthquake-and-tsunami.html\">here<\/a>, from which this one is taken:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2723 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"576\" height=\"403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami-2.jpg 640w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2011\/03\/11_03-tsunami-2-300x210.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>An earthquake of this magnitude generates very substantial sftershocks of course,\u00a0 In the first 150 minutes after the earthquake the <a href=\"http:\/\/earthquake.usgs.gov\/earthquakes\/recenteqsww\/Quakes\/quakes_big.php\">USGS has recorded nine events<\/a> with a magnitude of greater than 6, including one with a magnitude of 7.1.\u00a0 This latter aftershock was at least hypothetically sufficiently large to generate a tsunami in its own right, albeit much smaller than the one from the main shock.\u00a0 The normal rule of thumb is that the largest aftershock will typically be one unit down on the magnitude scale, so an aftershco of &gt;M= 7.5 should be expected at some point in the next few months.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Updates and comments welcome.\u00a0 I am out of my office today, but can be contacted on my mobile: +44 7983 702717 if anyone wants to talk to me directly.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A first report of the earthquake and tsunami in Japan today<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":2720,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[528,469,361,128],"class_list":["post-2718","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-earrthquake","tag-featured","tag-japan","tag-tsunami"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2718","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2718"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2718\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2718"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2718"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2718"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}