{"id":2230,"date":"2010-10-31T12:48:40","date_gmt":"2010-10-31T16:48:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=2230"},"modified":"2010-10-31T12:48:40","modified_gmt":"2010-10-31T16:48:40","slug":"haiti-worrying-forecast-track-for-hurricane-tomas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2010\/10\/31\/haiti-worrying-forecast-track-for-hurricane-tomas\/","title":{"rendered":"Haiti &#8211; worrying forecast track for hurricane Tomas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hurricane Tomas is currently passing through the southern part of the Caribbean.\u00a0 Yesterday it passed over St Vincent, causing extensive damage.\u00a0 The Prime Minister of St Vincent and the Grenadines, Dr Ralph Gonsalves,<a href=\"http:\/\/www.stabroeknews.com\/2010\/news\/breaking\/10\/31\/worst-storm-in-living-memory-%E2%80%93-st-vincent-pm\/\"> is reported to have described<\/a> the storm as &#8220;the worst storm in living memory&#8221;\u00a0 and to have said\u00a0 \u201cIt is terrible, we are in a bad way\u201d. The storm has also <a href=\"http:\/\/azstarnet.com\/news\/world\/article_154b2271-d198-51df-8b5d-ff6a89cd77e9.html\">reportedly<\/a> caused some damage, including landslides, in St Lucia and also in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.allvoices.com\/contributed-news\/7188179-tomas-throws-islands-into-total-darkness-as-the-hurricane-hammers-the-eastern-caribbean\">Barbados<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For the last few days the forecast track has taken the storm towards Jamaica, staying to the south of Haiti.\u00a0 However, the most recent track reports suggest that the hurricane may take a turn to the north, which would then provide a direct hit on the earthquake-affected areas of Haiti.\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tropicalstormrisk.com\/\">Tropical Storm Risk<\/a> has a map that shows this track well.\u00a0 The yellow dot is the current location; the thin line is the forecast track<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2010\/10\/10_10-Tomas-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2231\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2010\/10\/10_10-Tomas-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"580\" height=\"431\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2010\/10\/10_10-Tomas-1.png 580w, https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/files\/2010\/10\/10_10-Tomas-1-300x222.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px\" \/><\/a>Note that the forecast track would take it over Haiti towards the end of the week.\u00a0 We should of course be cautious about over-interpreting a forecast this far in advance, and there is a high likelihood that the track will be substantially different to this.\u00a0 However, the vulnerability of the population in Haiti to such a storm is extreme, even though it is only likely to be a category 3 (Hurricane force) storm at landfall.\u00a0 The potential combination of strong winds (a category 3 storm has peak sustained winds of 185 km\/h) and intense rainfall is very serious when there are up to 1.5 million people <a href=\"http:\/\/www.haitian-truth.org\/unstable-foundations-human-rights-of-haitis-1-5-million-idps\/\">reportedly<\/a> living in camps.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hurricane Tomas is currently passing through the southern part of the Caribbean.\u00a0 Yesterday it passed over St Vincent, causing extensive damage.\u00a0 The Prime Minister of St Vincent and the Grenadines, Dr Ralph Gonsalves, is reported to have described the storm as &#8220;the worst storm in living memory&#8221;\u00a0 and to have said\u00a0 \u201cIt is terrible, we are in a bad way\u201d. The storm has also reportedly caused some damage, including landslides, &hellip;<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2230\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}