{"id":16174,"date":"2015-09-21T06:00:56","date_gmt":"2015-09-21T06:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/?p=16174"},"modified":"2015-09-21T21:37:46","modified_gmt":"2015-09-21T21:37:46","slug":"human-factors-in-landslide-losses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/2015\/09\/21\/human-factors-in-landslide-losses\/","title":{"rendered":"Human factors in landslide losses"},"content":{"rendered":"
Human factors in landslide losses<\/h5>\n

One of the aspects of landslides that we looked at it my recent paper with my Chilean colleague Sergio Sepulveda (Sepulveda and Petley 2015 – open access version<\/a>) was the role of population density in determining landslide losses in Latin America and the Caribbean.\u00a0 For reference I described the main focus of this paper in a blog post a month or so ago<\/a>.\u00a0 For those countries in the study area we looked at the relationship between landslide density (i.e. the number of landslides that caused loss of life per 1000 square kilometres and the population density for the country in question (using data from 2010, which is in the middle of the study period).\u00a0 We found a pleasingly strong correlation:-<\/p>\n

\"Human<\/a>

Human factors in landslide losses – Sepulveda and Petley (2015)<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

.<\/p>\n

The graph is interesting for two reasons.\u00a0 First, it is clear that there is a strong correlation between landslide density and population density.\u00a0 Note that the landslide density is plotted on a log scale,suggesting that comparatively small increases in population density can lead to substantial increases in landslide density.\u00a0 The reasons for this are probably complex, but a key factor may be that there are simply more people in the landscape, meaning that any given landslide is more likely to cause a death.\u00a0 In addition, people themselves trigger landslides through slope cutting, deforestation and changes to the drainage network, amongst other things.\u00a0 It would be really interesting to examine this data in more detail to try to understand these factors properly – there is a great deal of anecdotal evidence about the role of human impacts on landslides, but few comprehensive, quantitative studies.<\/p>\n

We also looked at the relationship between research and landslide losses, plotting the number of fatalities against the number of research papers on landslides over the study period:<\/p>\n

\"Human<\/a>

Human factors in landslide losses – Sepulveda and Petley (2015)<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

.<\/p>\n

The volume of landslide research in this part of the world, as measured in scientific publications, remains depressingly low given the magnitude of the costs that they inflict on society.\u00a0 Whilst the number of papers from Brazil and Mexico looks impressive, when this is normalised by total population the data look much less impressive.\u00a0 But note that by far the largest numbers of fatalities in this region occurred in Guatemala and Haiti, and by any metric the amount of research being undertaken there is far too low.\u00a0 There is a drastic need to start to undertake more detailed work in these locations if we are to reduce the burden that landslides place on society there.\u00a0 And as the El Nino builds<\/a>, the consequences of our failure to manage landslides properly in Latin America is likely to become all too obvious.<\/p>\n

Reference<\/h5>\n

Sep\u00falveda, S.A. and Petley, D.N. 2015. Regional trends and controlling factors of fatal landslides in Latin America and the Caribbean<\/a>. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences<\/em>, 15<\/strong>, 1821-1833, doi:10.5194\/nhess-15-1821-2015<\/a>. The full paper available to download as a PDF<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In our recent paper on landslides in Latin America and the Caribbean, Sergio Sepulveda and I looked at human factors in landslide losses across this region, finding that the density of landslides is correlated with population density. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":16178,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[544],"tags":[469,957,938,192],"class_list":["post-16174","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-review-of-a-paper","tag-featured","tag-labdslide-losses","tag-latin-america","tag-paper"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16174"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16174\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16178"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.agu.org\/landslideblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}