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22 April 2010

Early hurricane forecasting: Don’t bet the farm on it

A few different groups of researchers and weather forecasters have put out predictions this month for Atlantic hurricanes, with most predicting more hurricanes than normal this summer. But are these predictions worth paying attention to? According to a 2007 paper in the World Meteorological Bulletin, such predictions in the past have almost no link with what actually happens. In fact, not until hurricane forecasters issued their July and August pronouncements …


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