Advertisement

26 August 2017

Astounding Model Output Leads to Forecasts We Meteorologists Never Thought We Would Make

I’ve forecasted the weather for 37 years and I’ve never seen consistent model output forecasting rainfall amounts of over 30 inches before. Astounding and astonishing are the only words I can use to describe what I’ve been seeing from the numerical models. Not only that, but it’s the same with nearly every usually reliable model. Could all of the models be wrong? Could this storm fizzle rather quickly once it …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (2) >>



24 August 2017

Was Driving 3,570 miles to See a Total Eclipse of the Sun Worth it? Yes!

If you did not experience totality, I suspect you might be getting tired of hearing about the eclipse by now, but if you were in the right spot, you know how amazing it really was. The story of my trip was covered by Matthew Cappucci in his excellent piece in the Washington Post, but I wanted to share some of what really surprised me. I will say though that my dog …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (3) >>



18 August 2017

Numerical Weather Model Adjusted For Eclipse Forecast

There are a lot of experiments and observations that will be made during the eclipse on Monday, but I just heard of one tonight that is right up my alley! First, I have to explain some things. One of the better high-resolution weather models we use every day is called the HRRR for High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model. This model does an excellent job and has sophisticated physics that runs at …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



8 August 2017

Do Not Quote, Cite, or Distribute

Oh, why not. The draft Special Climate Assesment Report is here. The NY Times published the leaked report and it’s not good news. I plan on reading the whole thing this weekend, but the Executive Summary at the top will give you the take home points. The short of it is that climate change is already having a significant impact on our weather in the U.S. Perhaps most notable is the increase …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



3 August 2017

Uncertainty is Not Ignorance

Kate Marvel’s TED Talk is a must watch.

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



31 July 2017

The Secret Discoveries Scientist Are Hiding

Every cancer specialist has the cure for cancer in his desk, and every climate scientist has proof that carbon dioxide is not causing global warming. Oh, and every physicist has a paper showing Einstein’s theory of relativity is all wrong, and I need to come clean as well since I’ve been hiding a method of dissipating hurricanes for 35 years.  All these earth shattering, Nobel prize winning, pieces of science …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



28 July 2017

Freak Summer Nor’easter Headed for the Mid-Atlantic

Gale warnings in July are rare along the mid-Atlantic coast, but if a tropical cyclone is nearby, they do happen. But those are rare, and a gale warning for a nor’easter in late July? That does not happen. No way. WAY. A strong trough in the troposphere is indeed going to bring a real fall-like nor’easter to the Mid-Atlantic this weekend with winds gusting nearly 50 mph on the coast. The bigger …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



26 July 2017

Summer Heat Too Much for You? NASA has Just the Place for You!

The James Webb telescope is designed to detect light in the infrared portion of the spectrum, and its instruments will only work at a temp. of just a few degrees above absolute zero! But how do you test them?? This is how! The room will keep getting colder and colder. NASA has a live webcam of the room online with a look at the indoor and outdoor temperatures at the …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



25 July 2017

Rare Tornado in Queen Anne’s County Maryland

We rarely see tornadoes on the Eastern Shore, but a strong EF 2 (winds near 125 mph) hit Kent Island just SE of the Bay Bridge at 1:30 AM Monday morning. Tornadoes are rare in Maryland and the last tornado in Queen Anne’s County was in 2012. Some of my thoughts about it: 1. Usually, the Chesapeake Bay weakens storms as they cross over it, but when the Bay is …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>



21 July 2017

The Cognitive Bias Survival Guide

As a reporter in Tampa was doing a story on an Alligator in the road yesterday, someone drove past and screamed “Fake News!”  I suspect the gator was real, and the story was factual, but this is happening rather frequently. You might ask how people can be so deceived that they will accept news only from those who tell them what they want to hear. Unfortunately, this is the America we …

Read More >>

Comments/Trackbacks (0)>>